Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 0.001396 0.001558 0.001720 0.001893 0.002073 0.002254 0.002449
2025-10-05 0.001144 0.001379 0.001621 0.001886 0.002166 0.002454 0.002769
2025-10-12 0.000953 0.001243 0.001549 0.001892 0.002262 0.002646 0.003072
2025-10-19 0.000777 0.001106 0.001463 0.001872 0.002321 0.002792 0.003321
2025-10-26 0.000629 0.000986 0.001386 0.001853 0.002373 0.002926 0.003552
2025-11-02 0.000504 0.000880 0.001315 0.001834 0.002420 0.003049 0.003767
2025-11-09 0.000403 0.000793 0.001259 0.001825 0.002473 0.003175 0.003981
2025-11-16 0.000322 0.000721 0.001215 0.001825 0.002532 0.003304 0.004196
2025-11-23 0.000254 0.000657 0.001175 0.001828 0.002590 0.003430 0.004404
2025-11-30 0.000221 0.000640 0.001190 0.001892 0.002718 0.003630 0.004693
2025-12-07 0.000166 0.000581 0.001149 0.001886 0.002762 0.003736 0.004875
2025-12-14 0.000109 0.000507 0.001084 0.001848 0.002766 0.003795 0.005003
2025-12-21 0.000069 0.000463 0.001069 0.001888 0.002884 0.004006 0.005330
2025-12-28 0.000029 0.000399 0.001024 0.001892 0.002960 0.004172 0.005609
2026-01-04 0.000006 0.000346 0.000989 0.001905 0.003046 0.004351 0.005904
2026-01-11 NaN 0.000284 0.000934 0.001890 0.003097 0.004487 0.006150
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000228 0.000881 0.001873 0.003144 0.004618 0.006389
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000178 0.000830 0.001856 0.003188 0.004743 0.006620
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000138 0.000788 0.001848 0.003242 0.004878 0.006861
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000106 0.000754 0.001849 0.003304 0.005022 0.007111
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000079 0.000723 0.001852 0.003367 0.005166 0.007358
2026-02-22 NaN 0.000072 0.000736 0.001916 0.003508 0.005401 0.007710
2026-03-01 NaN 0.000048 0.000702 0.001911 0.003558 0.005527 0.007936